Tier One
Christian McCaffrey (RB1) -- Back-to-back seasons with 200-plus carries and 100 catches entrench McCaffrey as fantasy's No. 1 option until further notice. Carolina's proposed rebuild be damned, only the 23-year-old's potential holdout on the final year of his rookie deal would threaten McCaffrey's every-down workload.
Saquon Barkley (RB2) -- The overall RB1 over the final three weeks of the season, Barkley punished New York's opponents in that stretch for 63/393/4 and 6.24 yards per carry. His 11.2 yards per target and 11/146/1 receiving line in that span buried any lingering concerns regarding his high-ankle sprain (which clearly hindered him mid-season).
Ezekiel Elliott (RB3) -- 300 carries and 15 starts in 3-of-4 seasons since joining the Cowboys in 2016. An ironman glued to the field by a $90 million bottle of Elmer's, Elliott arguably projects for an immediate uptick in targets given the absences of Jason Witten, Randall Cobb, Tavon Austin, and perhaps even Amari Cooper.
Dalvin Cook (RB4) -- Cook broke out with 19.2 fantasy points per game in his first 11 starts before battling through chest and shoulder pains to close the year. Any swirling rumors regarding Stefon Diggs' departure is a plus for Cook, who averaged an increased 5.3 targets in six games without Adam Thielen last year.
Alvin Kamara (RB5) -- Kamara's elusiveness clearly diminished upon returning from his high-ankle sprain as he avoided a tackle every 7.3 touches from Week 10 on compared to every 3.1 touches prior to injury. Career-high 68.9 percent snap rate in 2019 still a win in his first year without Mark Ingram.
Tier Two
Aaron Jones (RB6) -- Scored the second-most touchdowns (19) in Green Bay's illustrious franchise history this past year due in part to a career-high 285 touches with Jamaal Williams consistently banged up. Note that coach Matt LaFleur mentioned "putting a third guy into that mix" this offseason — perhaps because Jones remains an imminent holdout candidate entering the final year of his contract.
Joe Mixon (RB7) -- Even if his 313 touches last year were the product of the Bengals simply wanting to 'go home,' Mixon careered with an impressive 3.15 yards after contact per attempt as the overall RB11 behind Cincinnati's Swiss cheese O-line. Jonah Williams' return should improve the team's blocking across the board.
Derrick Henry (RB8) -- Impressively averaged 21.5/116.8/1.1 rushing in his last 22 starts (playoffs included), but Henry's 32 total targets in that span is further proof the 26-year-old can be game-scripted out of contests with ease. Will move down in May's post-draft update if Jack Conklin signs elsewhere.
Nick Chubb (RB9) -- Chubb's 22.4 touches per game and pedestal as fantasy's overall RB6 through the first half of the year dwindled to 20.1 and RB17 status once Kareem Hunt joined the party from Week 10 on. A premier positive regression candidate after scoring on just 4-of-32 touches inside 10-yard line under ex-coach Freddie Kitchens' bumbling play-calling.
Austin Ekeler (RB10) -- The No. 1 player across fantasy leagues with 56/220/3 rushing and 24/270/3 receiving through the first month of the year before Melvin Gordon re-joined the team in Week 5. Ekeler should be bet on as an unequivocal RB1 prior to Gordon's free agency choice if only to gain an edge over the field.
Miles Sanders (RB11) -- It took a number of injuries for Sanders to steal the spotlight, but his 72 percent snap rate in Philadelphia's last eight games included 14.6 carries and 5.1 targets per outing. Only Boston Scott, Elijah Holyfield, and Sanders remain under contract among the Eagles' backfield options for 2020.
Leonard Fournette (RB12) -- Somehow translated the seventh-most carries (265) and fourth-most targets (100) at his position into two measly touchdowns. Much like last year, Fournette enters 2020 with zilch for competition behind him.
Josh Jacobs (RB13) -- Jacobs' 18.6 carries per game were a plus in his first year under coach Jon Gruden, but Jalen Richard's two-year extension likely keeps the former pigeon-holed into early downs and thus off the field for any receiving-game reps.
Damien Williams (RB14) -- Much like his 2018 breakout, Williams closed Kansas City's Super Bowl run with 14.5 carries and 6.7 targets per game on 85% of the team's offensive snaps in their last four contests. Confidence as a bell-cow (barring further injury) ahead of 2020 given coach Andy Reid's affirmation that the 28-year-old was envisioned being used as such had he stayed healthy.
Melvin Gordon (RB15) -- Took a full month to hit himself into game shape following a holdout through all of camp and September, but Gordon closed the year as fantasy's RB6 ahead of teammate Austin Ekeler from Week 9 on. Win-win scenario on the open market as he'll either return to the same workload with the Chargers in 2020 or become the 1A option with less competition breathing down his neck elsewhere.
Kenyan Drake (RB16) -- Drake's ceiling is arguably tied to the Cardinals' offense, which he buoyed into 18.9 touches, 101.8 yards, and 19.5 fantasy points per game as the overall RB4 upon joining Arizona for eight starts at the trade deadline.
Devin Singletary (RB17) -- Singletary was quietly handed the torch from Week 16 on, straddling 35 of Buffalo's 43 backfield touches in his last two games. Barring a surprise return, Frank Gore's absence vacates 166 carries and a team-high 11 totes inside the five-yard line for the 22-year-old successor to soak up.
Chris Carson (RB18) -- Bell-cow 19.3 carries per game on 72 percent of Seattle's offensive snaps even with Rashaad Penny healthy for a better part the year. The latter's "more than just a normal" ACL tear from Week 14 entrenches Carson as the Hawks' Week 1 starter with zilch for competition out the gates.
Jonathan Taylor (RB19) -- One would think Taylor's 2,000 yards from scrimmage in each of his three seasons with the Badgers (or 4.39 40-time at 5'10/226) would've earned high praise, but some scouts have still reportedly eluded that the 21-year-old's running style is "tight" and "lacks wiggle." Taylor's eight drops on 50 career targets and six fumbles don't help matters despite his elite athleticism.
Tier Three
Le'Veon Bell (RB20) -- Pros: Bell was one of just nine backs to total 300-plus touches in 2019, playing 83 percent of New York's offensive snaps in his first year under coach Adam Gase. Cons: The Jets' shaky O-line, which ranked 31st-overall in Football Outsiders' Adjusted Line Yards metric last season, figures to go from bad to worse with all of LT Kelvin Beachum, OG Alex Lewis, and OT Brandon Shell hitting the open market. Bell also lacked any semblance of juice following his yearlong holdout, comically punching in his only three rushing scores from two-, one-, and one-yard out.
Mark Ingram (RB21) -- 30-year-old Ingram jumps off the page as the only RB2 that could be on the outside looking in for wall-related reasons. Ravens also hold a team-friendly out worth $1.3 million in dead cap for 2021 and have been linked to Georgia RB D'Andre Swift with the No. 28 overall pick in Daniel Jeremiah's most recent post-combine mock.
Marlon Mack (RB22) -- Career-high 247 carries this past season included career-lows in targets (17) and receiving yards (82) as Mack saw his routes run dip from 19 per game in 2018 to 13.5 the following year. Minimal upside in full PPR Best-Ball formats.
Todd Gurley (RB23) -- All signs point to Gurley's workload resembling his reps through Week 10 (14.9 touches per, 70% snaps) rather than his usage in Los Angeles' last seven games (19.3, 80%). Rams GM Les Snead also shared with Matthew Berry that expectations are Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson keep involved early with Gurley's work increasing as the season goes along.
D'Andre Swift (RB24) -- A three-down bruiser capable of being moved around a number of formations, Swift (5'8/212) remains the odds-on favorite to be the only back taken on Day 1.
J.K. Dobbins (RB25) -- Dobbins (ankle) declined to participate in on-field workouts during Combine week but previously tested as a 99th-percentile SPARQ freak at Nike's 'Opening Finals' drills out of high school. It only makes sense to group the two standouts behind Jonathan Taylor together until May's tier updates.
Raheem Mostert (RB26) -- Didn't truly burst onto the scene until Week 13, but did so in spectacular fashion with 117/715/11 and 6.1 yards per carry over San Francisco's last eight games (absurd 53/336/5 postseason run included). Touchdown deodorant repelled the stench of 25 total targets over 19 appearances.
David Montgomery (RB27) -- The third-rounder's 15th-percentile SPARQ measurement was a precautionary tale for his 55 avoided tackles on 267 touches — the third-fewest forced whiffs among the 14 backs that handled the ball 260-plus times. Bears GM Ryan Pace offered positive reinsurance at the Combine, confirming Montgomery can "carry a heavier load" despite his pedestrian numbers on the ground (242/889/6) last year.
Tier Four
Phillip Lindsay (RB28) -- Denver's undrafted gem has darted for 1,000 rushing yards in back-to-back seasons, but the organization's spring shopping list reportedly includes a complementary veteran to join their backfield. Kenyan Drake, Melvin Gordon, Jordan Howard, and Carlos Hyde have all been cited as potential roadblocks for Lindsay's upside.
Kerryon Johnson (RB29) -- Regardless of talent, Johnson has missed 14 of a possible 32 games with multiple prolonged knee injuries since joining the Lions as their No. 43 overall pick in '18.
James Conner (RB30) -- Conner's seldom availability on game days caused more trouble than it was worth as he got the nod but exited early on five separate occasions. The Steelers are sneaky candidates to add another backfield piece (alongside Benny Snell and Jaylen Samuels) via the draft as Conner enters the final year of his contract with no leverage to speak of.
David Johnson (RB31) -- Johnson averaged 17.7 touches per game as the overall RB6 through Week 6 before nagging ankle and back injuries had the 28-year-old mimicking an escape from quicksand in his last seven appearances. Unless Kenyan Drake surprisingly lands with a higher bidder, Johnson's lone path to upside involves having his player-friendly contract impossibly dealt.
Ronald Jones (RB32) -- Peyton Barber's trip to free agency leaves 154 rushes and a team-high eight carries inside the five-yard line unspoken for ahead of the new league year.
Kareem Hunt (RB33) -- Hunt primarily returned value in PPR leagues as his 44 targets upon joining Cleveland in Week 10 paced for the seventh-most (88) among running backs in a 16-game span. Browns GM Andrew Berry has already confirmed the team will tender Hunt, 25 in August, for next year.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB34) -- Edwards-Helaire (5'8/209) caught 55-of-64 targets at LSU as a pro-ready prospect that should translate seamlessly into any pass-happy attack. Box scores versus Alabama (29/180/4) and Clemson (21/164) in his final year with the Tigers pop.
Cam Akers (RB35) -- The youngest runner (20.7) among this year's class, Akers (5'11/212) was consistently inconsistent behind Florida State's shaky O-line but did impressively total 261/1,369/18 amid those concerns in his final collegiate year.
James White (RB36) -- White's 139 touches and RB20 finish this past year is closer to expectations than his illustrious 181 touches and top-10 ranking in '18. Any upgrade to New England's surrounding cast, including an uptick in Damien Harris' usage, would move White further down the team's pecking order.
Derrius Guice (RB37) -- Teased with an explosive 49/324/3 and 6.6 yards per touch in five appearances before being shelved for the second straight year. Coach Ron Rivera told ESPN's Matthew Berry that Adrian Peterson, Bryce Love, and Guice would all have roles in 2020.
Sony Michel (RB38) -- Touchdown-or-bust outlook includes a basement as his floor given coach Bill Belichick's propensity to take Michel off the field for passing downs. Has only logged 50 percent of New England's snaps in 2-of-33 career games.
Tevin Coleman (RB39) -- Failed to eclipse six touches in 7-of-8 contests from Week 13 on but still participated in 29 percent of San Francisco's snaps behind Raheem Mostert (59%) in that stretch. Direct handcuff to the latter with a dusting of usage as the team's backup when both are healthy.
Tarik Cohen (RB40) -- Quietly ran the eighth-most routes (381) among running backs including a position-high 105 (29%) from the slot. Taylor Gabriel's release vacates another 5.3 targets and 34.7 routes per game for Cohen to potentially soak up.
Zack Moss (RB41) -- Pro Football Focus charted Moss with the third-highest broken tackle per attempt rate of any back since 2014, but his lengthy injury history (including a tweaked hamstring during combine drills) begs the question of his ability to stay on the field. Led his position in team visits (13) in Indy.
Devonta Freeman (RB42) -- All but officially out the door, Freeman's departure from Atlanta — a move that would ultimately save the team a much needed $3.5 million in cap space — remains the 27-year-old's worst-case scenario as it's unlikely he lands as a starter anywhere else.
Tier Five
Alexander Mattison (RB43) -- Last year's No. 102 overall pick, Mattison averaged 8.5 touches per game in 13 appearances behind Dalvin Cook. Clearly ahead of Mike Boone on the team's depth chart, Mattison is merely a rookie-contract backup as the front office eyes a longterm extension for Cook in the coming months.
Latavius Murray (RB44) -- League-winner with 48/221/3 rushing and 14/86/1 receiving in two spot-starts for Alvin Kamara, but Murray's average 8.2 touches in his surrounding 15 performances leave a lot to be desired as long as the former bounces back healthy.
Tony Pollard (RB45) -- Pollard led his position in yards after contact per attempt (4.51) in only his first year in the league among the 61 qualifiers with 70-plus touches. Even so, a performance-based increase in usage is a moot point that will fall on deaf ears since Dallas' $90 million albatross ahead of him hasn't missed a single career game due to injury.
Darrell Henderson (RB46) -- Ugh. Totaled an invisible 45 touches on 93 snaps his rookie year despite coach-speak he'd complement both Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown. Purely a bet-on-talent flier ahead of his sophomore reclamation.
Royce Freeman (RB47) -- Seemingly on the outside looking in despite his team-friendly rookie deal, GM John Elway has reportedly "expressed interest" in Kenyan Drake, Melvin Gordon, Jordan Howard, and Carlos Hyde as potential replacements. 24-year-old Freeman averaged just 7.6 touches per game from Week 9 on.
Justice Hill (RB48) -- 4.40 40-time hung out to dry with a trifling amount of catches (8) on the entire season. Any Day 1/2 addition to this backfield via the draft is a sheer negative for 22-year-old Hill.
Jamal Williams (RB49) -- Coach Matt LaFleur's dwindling faith in Williams resulted in the latter totaling 15 touches in Green Bay's last three games, including seven on 23 percent of the team's offensive snaps in two postseason tilts. LaFleur also mentioned adding a third competent runner to the mix ahead of 2020.
Jaylen Samuels (RB50) -- Averaged nine carries and six targets in four starts for James Conner. Unfortunately, Benny Snell's emergence on 13.3 carries per game in the team's last six bouts stripped Samuels of his early-down role altogether.
Chase Edmonds (RB51) -- Buoyed his lone opportunity ahead of David Johnson into an absurd 29/150/3 in Week 7 against the Giants. Only handled two touches over five games behind Kenyan Drake, but 23-year-old Edmonds remains a late-round anti-fragile win if betting against Arizona's backfield dominos falling as rumored.
Boston Scott (RB52) -- Scott exploded for 23/138/3 in Philadelphia's Week 17 win-and-in against the Giants, but that opportunity can solely be attributed to Miles Sanders' injury since the former merely handled nine playoff touches on 28 percent of snaps. Jordan Howard's absence leaves 119 carries and a team-high eight totes inside the five-yard line unaccounted for.
Carlos Hyde (RB53) -- Rumbled for career-highs in carries (245) and rushing yards (1,070) under coach Bill O'Brien but spiked double-digit fantasy points in just 5-of-16 starts. Next suitor in free agency perhaps won't be so giving.
Ryquell Armstead (RB54) -- Flashed receiving chops in his limited role (150 snaps) off the bench last year, totaling 14/144/2 as the only option behind Leonard Fournette. Sneaky bet for a handful of starts if the organization abruptly yanks the ripcord on Fournette in the final year of his contract.
Matt Breida (RB55) -- Expected to tender a deal with San Francisco despite totaling 26 touches over the team's last seven games.
Rashaad Penny (RB56) -- All signs point to Penny beginning the year on PUP due to his "more than just a normal" ACL tear from Week 14.
Nyheim Hines (RB57) -- Any continued winds of Philip Rivers landing with the Colts only heightens Hines' ceiling ahead of the season. Backup Jonathan Williams is also expected to land elsewhere in free agency.
Chris Thompson (RB58) -- Plagued with injuries the past three seasons, Thompson's upside is tied entirely to his next destination as he starts anew in free agency.
Justin Jackson (RB59) -- 25-year-old Jackson (6'0/193) quietly averaged eight touches in Los Angeles' first three games before Melvin Gordon returned from holdout. Would rise in May's post-draft update if Gordon officially signs elsewhere.
Lamar Miller (RB60) -- Odds are against Miller as he approaches his age-29 season as a free agent only eight months removed from tearing his ACL and MCL in August.
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